Systemic Leverage as a Macroprudential Indicator

등록일
2012.07.22
조회수
8340
키워드
systemic leverage macroprudential indicator aggregate leverage procyclicality interconnectedness
담당부서
연구조정실(02-750-6835)

We propose systemic leverage as a macroprudential indicator, which we construct by incorporating into aggregate leverage two systemic risk factors, procyclicality and interconnectedness. We conjecture that these factors are well captured by wholesale funding, off-balance sheet transactions, mark-to-market accounting, and cross-border activities. We determine each factor’s weight for the indicator based upon its contribution to the business cycle. We calculate the indicator using the balance sheet data of domestic banks in Korea, and find that it issues warning signals at least one year in advance of financial crises and may complement the credit-to-GDP gap that does not explicitly reflect the systemic risk factors.

 

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