Economic Outlook (November 2024)

등록일
2024.11.28
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914
키워드
Economic outlook GDP CPI
담당부서
Research Department & Office of Economic Modeling and Policy Analysis(02-759-4166)

Bank of Korea forecasts GDP growth at 2.2% in 2024 and 1.9% in 2025.

 

    ■ The growth forecasts for this year and next year have been revised downward by 0.2%p, respectively, in light of slower-than-expected export growth due to intensifying competition with major countries in key industries and strengthening trade protectionism, amid domestic demand recovering at a moderate pace.

 

    ■ The future path of growth is expected to be significantly influenced by the global trade environment, trends in semiconductor exports, and the pace of recovery in domestic demand.

 

CPI inflation is projected to be at 1.9% in 2025.

 

    ■ The forecast, compared to the previous outlook in August, has been revised downward by 0.2%p due to lower oil prices and limited demand-side pressures.

 

    ■ Uncertainty regarding geopolitical risks, exchange rate movements, and economic conditions at home and abroad persists.


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