TITLE : [Economic Papers 6-1]
Effects of Financial
Liberalization on Consumption in Korea
AUTHOR : Byung Chul Chun
CONTACT :
Institute for Monetary & Economic
Research
(tel: 82-2-759-5407, 5421 fax: 82-2-759-5410)
ATTACH : EP6-1-2.pdf
Summary:
In this paper I set out to find the effect of financial liberalization
on consumption in Korea. When we want to know the effect of new policy, we
generally compare the change of parameters. But financial liberalization
is not the event of a day but a process sustained over a long time, so here I
employ it as a variable.
With an OLS model I find that financial
liberalization caused consumption. In addition, I show that real estate
did not have a positive relation with consumption until the start of financial
liberalization. The unconstrained group, who can borrow money against future
income, increased as financial liberalization proceeded in the GMM model. A
state-space model shows that real estate, which had not had a fixed relationship
with consumption before the foreign currency crisis in Korea in the late 1990´s,
influences consumption following the crisis.