Author : Sora Chon(Inha University), Wongi Kim(Sungshin Women's University), Seri Shim(Bank of Korea)
This paper investigates the monetary-fiscal policy mix in Korea using the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) framework. To this end, we first check fiscalrelated regime changes using the Threshold Vector Autoregression. The statistically identified fiscal regimes are hard to interpret FTPL-related regimes and are not economically meaningful. We then estimate a medium-scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE) under two different regimes: active fiscal - passive monetary policy (Regime F) and passive fiscal - active monetary policy (Regime M) . DSGE estimation reveals Regime M prevailed. The results suggest that monetary policy plays a dominant role in determining equilibrium dynamics, including inflation in Korea.