BOK Working Paper No.2025-8, Monetary-Fiscal Policy Mix and Inflation in Korea

등록일
2025.03.28
조회수
1546
키워드
Fiscal Theory of the Price level Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy Regime Analysis
등록자
Sora Chon, Wongi Kim, Seri Shim
담당부서
Research Planning & Coordination Team(02-759-5431)

Author : Sora Chon(Inha University), Wongi Kim(Sungshin Women's University), Seri Shim(Bank of Korea)


This paper investigates the monetary-fiscal policy mix in Korea using the fis­cal theory of the price level (FTPL) framework. To this end, we first check fiscal­related regime changes using the Threshold Vector Autoregression. The statistically identified fiscal regimes are hard to interpret FTPL-related regimes and are not eco­nomically meaningful. We then estimate a medium-scale dynamic stochastic gen­eral equilibrium model (DSGE) under two different regimes: active fiscal - passive monetary policy (Regime F) and passive fiscal - active monetary policy (Regime M) . DSGE estimation reveals Regime M prevailed. The results suggest that mon­etary policy plays a dominant role in determining equilibrium dynamics, including inflation in Korea.

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