Economic Outlook (May 2026)

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2026.05.28
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4914
키워드
Economic Outlook GDP Inflation
담당부서
Research Department & Office of Economic Modeling and Policy Analysis(02-759-4166)

Korea's economic growth this year is projected at 2.6%, a sharp upward revision from the February forecast of 2.0%.

 

    ■ Despite the Middle East shock, growth is set to strengthen on the back of the robust semiconductor cycle.

 

CPI inflation this year is expected to be 2.7%, well above the February projection of 2.2%.

 

    ■ The revision reflects the direct and indirect effects of the oil price shock, along with a gradual buildup of demand-side pressures from improving economic conditions.

 

The projection path is subject to high uncertainty, particularly surrounding the semiconductor cycle and the Middle East war.

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