▣ Korea's economic growth this year is projected at 2.6%, a sharp upward revision from the February forecast of 2.0%.
■ Despite the Middle East shock, growth is set to strengthen on the back of the robust semiconductor cycle.
▣ CPI inflation this year is expected to be 2.7%, well above the February projection of 2.2%.
■ The revision reflects the direct and indirect effects of the oil price shock, along with a gradual buildup of demand-side pressures from improving economic conditions.
▣ The projection path is subject to high uncertainty, particularly surrounding the semiconductor cycle and the Middle East war.